WASHINGTON– As part of its continued support for the implementation of the Iran nuclear agreement, the Public Affairs Alliance of Iranian Americans (PAAIA) held a panel discussion on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPoA) at the National Press Club. The discussion focused on a new scientific report about strengthening Iran’s compliance with the nuclear agreement.
The future of the nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1 coalition (U.S., U.K., France, Russia, China, and Germany) remains highly debated. Policymakers, analysts, members of Congress, and nuclear arms control experts want to know if Iran will comply with and implement the JCPoA.
In response to these questions, PAAIA commissioned Global Impact Strategies (giStrat) to conduct a data driven report on strengthening compliance of the Iran nuclear agreement. Using game theory and other behavioral sciences, the report provides an objective perspective on the most productive path to strengthening Iran’s compliance with the JCPoA.
Following the report release, PAAIA held a panel discussion with the author of the report, former government officials, and other experts. The panelists included Amir Bagherpour, Chief Analytics Officer at giStrat and Amy Nelson,Peter Harrell, Senior Fellow at the Center for New American Security and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Sanctions and Counter Threat Finance, Joel Rubin, President of Washington Strategy Group and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Legislative Affairs, Fellow at the Stimson Center’s Conventional Defense Program. The panel was moderated by Barbara Slavin, Acting Director of the Future of Iran Initiative, Atlantic Council.
The topics for discussion included the giStrat report’s overall findings, the report’s data collection methods, the most significant factors affecting Iran’s compliance with the deal, and policy recommendations for the incoming Congress and president.
Overall, the giStrat report found that Iran is likely to continue to comply with the JCPoA. The most signiificant issues affecting compliance include Iran’s economic growth, free exchange of data about Iran’s nuclear program, and open verification of compliance.
To see a full copy of giStrat’s report, please visit: http://www.paaia.org/CMS/Data/Sites/1/jcpoa-report.pdf
To see a complete version of the panel discussion, please visit: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UxUCm4GGbeQ
The report was updated in November, 2016 to account for the results of the election. To see a copy of the update, please visit: http://www.paaia.org/CMS/Data/Sites/1/PDFs/gistrat-update_jcpoa-under-trump-administration.pdf